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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00BreakTheBankFlaznorptetrose
Record (consensus markets)no settled market41% (616–869, n=1485)55% (13382–10751, n=24133)33% (146–298, n=444)
Consensus PnL—$8.4M$1.4M-$44K
Tracked as—PM monthly #1PM monthly #14was PM monthly #721
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (30 of 34 open)63% (73 of 115 open)48% (29 of 60 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −24 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%57% of 307 at avg 41¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)30% (won 9% of 919)45% (won 16% of 138)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 212)15% (won 37% of 455)13% (won 77% of 39)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 205)14% (won 63% of 439)16% (won 86% of 49)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)42% (won 94% of 1302)26% (won 99% of 81)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00BreakTheBankFlaznorptetrose
Bills vs. Vikings
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $15KBills $75—