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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (15007–15178, n=30185) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $10.6M | $5.8M | $3.3M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #27 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 90% (143 of 159 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 33% (2 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 91% of 10937 at avg 60¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 8% (won 59% of 872) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 21% (won 86% of 2346) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 38% (won 95% of 4200) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 32% (won 99% of 3519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $85K | — | Yes $2.0K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $30K | — | Yes $3.0K |