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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00BreakTheBankjoseph00677pollo07
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (547–663, n=1210)53% (10–9, n=19)36% (278–487, n=765)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$11.0M$5.6M$115K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19PM monthly #1PM monthly #2PM monthly #76
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position65% (74 of 113 open)no open consensus position64% (16 of 25 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Elections −3 pts, n=70
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%45% of 406 at avg 46¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 81% of 57)12% (won 0% of 2)51% (won 1% of 207)
Entries 30–50¢0%36% (won 98% of 201)6% (won 0% of 1)3% (won 45% of 11)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 196)65% (won 73% of 11)2% (won 44% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up0%19% (won 100% of 109)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 96% of 179)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00BreakTheBankjoseph00677pollo07
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $287K—No $4.5K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.2K—No $1.1K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—No $42K—No $12K
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $607—No $2.7K