← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | whig | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 62% (415–251, n=666) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $7.9M | $5.3M | $353K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #927 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 88% (22 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (36 of 54 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Finance −7 pts, n=26 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 47% of 632 at avg 40¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 45% (won 13% of 283) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 18% (won 43% of 111) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 13% (won 81% of 80) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 25% (won 95% of 158) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | whig |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $53K | — | Yes $9.7K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $37K | — | Yes $240 |