← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | whig | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 46% (555–663, n=1218) | 65% (882–468, n=1350) | 62% (365–221, n=586) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $11.2M | $4.2M | $326K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #143 | PM monthly #973 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 66% (21 of 32 open) | 78% (25 of 32 open) | 52% (11 of 21 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Finance −7 pts, n=26 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 47% of 622 at avg 40¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 45% (won 13% of 280) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 18% (won 43% of 109) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 13% (won 81% of 79) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 25% (won 95% of 154) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | whig |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $407K | — | Yes $8.7K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $261K | — | Yes $1.3K |