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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00beachboy4LightParadoxRN1
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)67% (43–21, n=64)54% (648–562, n=1210)47% (14256–15876, n=30132)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$6.1M$23K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19was PM monthly #24PM monthly #274PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)54% (58 of 107 open)61% (33 of 54 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +25 pts n=237, ROI +29%
  • NBA +45 pts n=13, ROI +47%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=18, ROI +21%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=93——
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%100% of 284 at avg 72¢, ROI +29%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%3% (won 17% of 6)7% (won 100% of 21)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢0%30% (won 57% of 63)17% (won 100% of 48)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)54% (won 51% of 115)14% (won 100% of 40)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up0%14% (won 86% of 29)62% (won 100% of 175)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00beachboy4LightParadoxRN1
Luanda: Gina Feistel vs Linda Klimovicova
opposite sides · consensus Linda Klimovicova
——Gina Feistel $1.7KLinda Klimovicova $411
W50 Heraklion: Lia Karatancheva vs Eliska Tichackova
opposite sides · consensus Eliska Tichackova
——Lia Karatancheva $62Eliska Tichackova $353
Taipei: Mili Poljicak vs Sho Shimabukuro
opposite sides · consensus Sho Shimabukuro
——Sho Shimabukuro $20Mili Poljicak $14
Rolex Paris Masters: Quentin Halys vs Arthur Fery
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
——Quentin Halys $18KQuentin Halys $904
Chennai Open: Viktoria Morvayova vs Polina Kudermetova
same side · consensus Polina Kudermetova
——Polina Kudermetova $2.4KPolina Kudermetova $13K
Bratislava 2: Mika Brunold vs Michael Vrbensky
same side · consensus Mika Brunold
——Michael Vrbensky $1.2KMichael Vrbensky $2.0K
Taranto: Massimo Giunta vs Adrian Andreev
same side · consensus Adrian Andreev
——Adrian Andreev $2.7KAdrian Andreev $119
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Katherine Hui
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
——Janice Tjen $1.9KJanice Tjen $82
Luanda: Franziska Sziedat vs Sada Nahimana
same side · consensus Sada Nahimana
——Sada Nahimana $633Sada Nahimana $15
Luanda: Laura Boehner vs Madhurima Sawant
same side · consensus Laura Boehner
——Madhurima Sawant $10Madhurima Sawant $563