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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00ndb1RN1Venusian
Record (consensus markets)no settled market63% (1101–635, n=1736)48% (19694–21447, n=41141)42% (1955–2668, n=4623)
Consensus PnL—$4.6M$14.9M$41K
Tracked as—PM monthly #109PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #298
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (68 of 97 open)55% (16 of 29 open)59% (23 of 39 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −7 pts, n=158——
Settled positions, side won—66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 1244 at avg 67¢, ROI +34%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 14% of 196)10% (won 57% of 2594)9% (won 100% of 110)
Entries 30–50¢—18% (won 40% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5704)27% (won 100% of 334)
Entries 50–70¢—23% (won 58% of 348)35% (won 99% of 9204)14% (won 100% of 180)
Entries 70¢ and up—46% (won 94% of 710)33% (won 100% of 8622)50% (won 100% of 620)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00ndb1RN1Venusian
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
——Billy Harris $6.2KBilly Harris $9.7K
Orleans: Hugo Grenier vs Martin Krumich
same side · consensus Hugo Grenier
——Hugo Grenier $1.7KHugo Grenier $221
Hersonissos 3: Johannus Monday vs Georgii Kravchenko
same side · consensus Georgii Kravchenko
——Johannus Monday $23Johannus Monday $39
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
——No $19No $35