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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)41% (444–646, n=1090)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6510–6010, n=12520)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)
Consensus PnL$22K$7.9M$3.3M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #736PM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus62% (28 of 45 open)66% (19 of 29 open)71% (200 of 280 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicWeather −1 pts, n=844—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won60% of 1502 at avg 60¢, ROI +1%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 1% of 561)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 40% of 43)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 64% of 44)35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up57% (won 99% of 854)20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.