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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GetsOnBaseBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)100% (3–0, n=3)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)
Consensus PnL$80K$7.7M$4.1M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #136PM monthly #1PM monthly #16PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position81% (29 of 36 open)72% (83 of 115 open)85% (11 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won100% of 2 at avg 47¢, ROI +60%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 1)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 1)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up0%20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGetsOnBaseBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.3K—Over $16K
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Bears $96—Buccaneers $407