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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x127e88ca7f26b32be5ff2b005c5478cbd3833dd8BreakTheBankRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)73% (222–82, n=304)45% (542–652, n=1194)47% (13853–15337, n=29190)50% (1028–1027, n=2055)
Consensus PnL$21K$10.6M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #908PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)89% (141 of 159 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won89% of 128 at avg 80¢, ROI +8%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)5% (won 94% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 0% of 2)36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)42% (won 99% of 382)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 82% of 17)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)49% (won 99% of 446)
Entries 70¢ and up84% (won 93% of 107)19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)5% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.