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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x16bb9951a36fce71e2ef57890b786145e0ba8492 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (829–789, n=1618) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 61% (393–247, n=640) |
| Consensus PnL | $161K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #245 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (3 of 5 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (50 of 59 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 825 at avg 51¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% (won 100% of 3) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 100% of 304) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 62% (won 99% of 510) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 1% (won 75% of 8) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x16bb9951a36fce71e2ef57890b786145e0ba8492 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $23K | — | No $32K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $8.0K | — | Yes $34K | — |