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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x16cbe223607a6513ae76d1e3751c78e4eabc2704CORGIIBreakTheBank00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)80% (1016–256, n=1272)61% (393–247, n=640)45% (537–652, n=1189)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$337K$4.5M$10.6M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #979PM monthly #68PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus90% (46 of 51 open)50% (1 of 2 open)85% (50 of 59 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +27 pts n=777, ROI +14%
  • F1 +19 pts n=155, ROI −13%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=86, ROI +1%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicPolitics −30 pts, n=14———
Settled positions, side won91% of 1357 at avg 71¢, ROI +5%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 60% of 149)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 82% of 56)0%
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 85% of 162)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 198)0%
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 93% of 192)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 191)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up63% (won 98% of 854)2% (won 100% of 7)19% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x16cbe223607a6513ae76d1e3751c78e4eabc2704CORGIIBreakTheBank00gringo00
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $832—No $250K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.3K—Yes $170K—
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $300—No $202K—