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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (168–312, n=480) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13870–15347, n=29217) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $34K | $11.0M | $14.8M | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #138 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (27 of 51 open) | 86% (134 of 156 open) | 59% (13 of 22 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections ±0 pts, n=174 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 1344 at avg 61¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 37% (won 2% of 495) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 35% of 31) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 84% of 31) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 59% (won 99% of 787) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.1K | Yes $274K | — | — |