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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702joseph00677ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)42% (398–541, n=939)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (886–468, n=1354)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL$34K$5.6M$4.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #159PM monthly #1PM monthly #143PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (108 of 142 open)no open consensus position73% (33 of 45 open)67% (117 of 174 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicMentions −2 pts, n=57—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won59% of 1724 at avg 59¢, ROI −1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢39% (won 2% of 680)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 44% of 43)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 82% of 44)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 99% of 957)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702joseph00677ndb1RN1
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5——No $5.5K