Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023beachboy4joseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (381–470, n=851)no settled market53% (10–9, n=19)47% (13283–14790, n=28073)
Consensus PnL$90K—$5.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #476—PM monthly #1PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensus72% (173 of 240 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position42% (14 of 33 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicEntertainment −4 pts, n=76———
Settled positions, side won62% of 1769 at avg 61¢, ROI +8%—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 2% of 650)—12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 46% of 41)—6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 79% of 58)—65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 99% of 1020)—18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.