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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023keeptheblueflagflyinghighprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)98% (46–1, n=47)44% (193–242, n=435)53% (20–18, n=38)66% (480–243, n=723)
Consensus PnL$183$17K-$43K-$141K
Tracked asPM monthly #744PM monthly #45PM monthly #70PM monthly #44 + pinned
Sides with the consensus85% (311 of 366 open)73% (11 of 15 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=13, ROI +49%
Weakest topicTech −1 pts, n=12———
Settled positions, side won92% of 88 at avg 90¢, ROI +3%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 20 at avg 51¢, ROI +48%100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 14% of 7)5% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢0%38% (won 100% of 51)35% (won 100% of 7)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 50% of 2)50% (won 100% of 67)55% (won 100% of 11)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up90% (won 100% of 79)7% (won 100% of 9)5% (won 100% of 1)51% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023keeptheblueflagflyinghighprimmRN1
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier
same side · consensus Buvaysar Gadamauri
—Buvaysar Gadamauri $1.9K—Buvaysar Gadamauri $5.1K