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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eBreakTheBankjoseph00677S-Works
Record (consensus markets)65% (2577–1381, n=3958)41% (616–869, n=1485)43% (10–13, n=23)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL$174K$8.4M$3.2M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #154PM monthly #1PM monthly #7PM monthly #66
Sides with the consensus67% (14 of 21 open)88% (29 of 33 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic———Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won100% of 1506 at avg 72¢, ROI +12%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 78)10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 100% of 181)36% (won 98% of 212)6% (won 0% of 1)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 100% of 345)35% (won 100% of 205)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 100% of 902)20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.