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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (296–118, n=414) | 74% (423–151, n=574) | 68% (302–139, n=441) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.2K | $44K | -$51K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #160 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (2 of 5 open) | 71% (35 of 49 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 663 at avg 75¢, ROI +8% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 96% of 27) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 100% of 66) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 100% of 124) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 100% of 446) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Juan Martin opposite sides · consensus Michael Geerts | — | Michael Geerts $826 | Juan Martin $2.8K |
| Hersonissos 3: Ioannis Xilas vs Sergey Fomin opposite sides · consensus Ioannis Xilas | — | Ioannis Xilas $1.3K | Sergey Fomin $1.2K |
| Hersonissos 3: Lorenzo Angelini vs Robin Bertrand same side · consensus Robin Bertrand | — | Robin Bertrand $1.0K | Robin Bertrand $1.1K |