Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eFlaznorpRN1robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)71% (478–192, n=670)75% (730–246, n=976)66% (475–241, n=716)61% (20–13, n=33)
Consensus PnL-$6.6K$71K-$143K$230K
Tracked asPM monthly #159PM monthly #14PM monthly #44 + pinnedPM monthly #21 + pinned
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)66% (52 of 79 open)50% (1 of 2 open)67% (4 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +24 pts n=129, ROI +20%
  • NBA +23 pts n=117, ROI +5%
  • NFL +30 pts n=11, ROI +13%
none with 10+ settled
  • NBA +47 pts n=18, ROI +45%
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won99% of 276 at avg 76¢, ROI +24%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%100% of 22 at avg 54¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 75% of 12)34% (won 10% of 30)6% (won 100% of 12)5% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 100% of 13)19% (won 29% of 17)13% (won 100% of 26)36% (won 100% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 100% of 62)13% (won 55% of 11)30% (won 100% of 62)41% (won 100% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up68% (won 100% of 189)34% (won 83% of 30)51% (won 100% of 105)18% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eFlaznorpRN1robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
—G2 $3—MOUZ $299K
Hersonissos 3: Robin Bertrand vs Henry Searle
opposite sides · consensus Henry Searle
—Henry Searle $3.1KRobin Bertrand $12—
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Alex Bolt
opposite sides · consensus Alex Bolt
—Alafia Ayeni $377Alex Bolt $40—
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
same side · consensus Spirit
—Spirit $42—Spirit $338K