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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6endb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)56% (137–106, n=243)no settled market50% (65–65, n=130)
Consensus PnL$1.5K$0-$53K
Tracked asPM monthly #155PM monthly #110PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus64% (18 of 28 open)74% (67 of 90 open)53% (47 of 88 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −7 pts, n=158—
Settled positions, side won100% of 1506 at avg 72¢, ROI +12%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 78)13% (won 14% of 196)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 100% of 181)18% (won 40% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 100% of 345)23% (won 58% of 348)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 100% of 902)46% (won 94% of 710)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6endb1RN1
Duke Blue Devils vs. North Texas Mean Green (W)
same side · consensus Duke Blue Devils
Duke Blue Devils $4.0K—Duke Blue Devils $43
Idaho Vandals vs. Washington State Cougars (W)
same side · consensus Washington State Cougars
Washington State Cougars $16—Washington State Cougars $1.9K
Missouri State Bears vs. Wyoming Cowboys (W)
same side · consensus Missouri State Bears
Missouri State Bears $14—Missouri State Bears $248