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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357beachboy400gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)53% (576–518, n=1094)68% (43–20, n=63)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$595K$5.8M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #70was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus83% (5 of 6 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position73% (73 of 100 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMMA −8 pts, n=16NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won58% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +4%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 26% of 119)3% (won 17% of 6)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 54% of 418)29% (won 56% of 62)0%36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 63% of 322)54% (won 51% of 115)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up13% (won 90% of 128)14% (won 86% of 29)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357beachboy400gringo00BreakTheBank
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3K——Yes $2.3K
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $303——Yes $28