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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BABELCONSTEL | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4473–3351, n=7824) | 82% (313–69, n=382) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) | 47% (13362–14874, n=28236) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | -$551K | $3.5M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #316 | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (8 of 11 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 66% (113 of 170 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 90% of 723 at avg 80¢, ROI +9% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 4% (won 3% of 29) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 6% (won 69% of 42) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 14% (won 79% of 103) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 76% (won 98% of 549) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BABELCONSTEL | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari same side · consensus Maya Joint | Maya Joint $469 | — | — | Maya Joint $13K |