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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BlackMamba08Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)48% (62–68, n=130)no settled market75% (739–246, n=985)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$290K-$260$69K$2
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #881PM monthly #14PM monthly #151
Sides with the consensus33% (2 of 6 open)67% (6 of 9 open)68% (68 of 100 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Soccer −8 pts, n=40—
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%40% of 5 at avg 7¢, ROI +25%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%50% of 2 at avg 19¢, ROI +9%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)100% (won 40% of 5)34% (won 10% of 30)100% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)0%19% (won 29% of 17)0%
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)0%13% (won 55% of 11)0%
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)0%34% (won 83% of 30)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BlackMamba08Flaznorpndb1
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $255Over $5.9K—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $141No $141—
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 0 - 0 FK Austria Wien?
same side · consensus No
—No $166No $5.9K—
Will Vietnam vs. Chinese Taipei end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $4No $749—
Will Czechia win on 2026-11-12?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $8Yes $237—
Will Chinese Taipei win on 2026-11-11?
same side · consensus No
—No $5No $53—