← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | mildwindow27 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (37–38, n=75) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 74% (427–151, n=578) | 100% (6–0, n=6) |
| Consensus PnL | -$380K | $779K | $58K | $25 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #37 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #476 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (3 of 6 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 70% (106 of 152 open) | 91% (176 of 193 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | Elections ±0 pts, n=392 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 40% of 964 at avg 42¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 57% (won 1% of 546) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 2% (won 59% of 22) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 4% (won 59% of 37) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 37% (won 97% of 359) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | mildwindow27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $11K | — | Under $953 | — |
| CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $8.3K | — | Over $287 | — |