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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankJokerTheClownjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)57% (4487–3372, n=7859)45% (571–700, n=1271)78% (2345–672, n=3017)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$9.4M$198K$5.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #123PM monthly #1PM monthly #202PM monthly #3
Sides with the consensus67% (10 of 15 open)52% (12 of 23 open)67% (6 of 9 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Crypto ±0 pts, n=102—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%80% of 617 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)14% (won 39% of 85)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)19% (won 68% of 117)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)28% (won 85% of 172)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 97% of 243)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankJokerTheClownjoseph00677
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $14K—Yes $152—
Jazz vs. Pelicans
same side · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $774Jazz $75K——