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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | NM-P | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4536–3322, n=7858) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 82% (5443–1157, n=6600) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | $48K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #513 | PM monthly #53 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (11 of 19 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 72% (76 of 106 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 6% (won 100% of 256) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 21% (won 100% of 859) | 41% (won 99% of 418) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 22% (won 100% of 884) | 49% (won 99% of 504) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 51% (won 100% of 2087) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | NM-P | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $38K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | No $63K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |