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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankRN1weflyhigh
Record (consensus markets)58% (4522–3297, n=7819)45% (573–710, n=1283)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)52% (413–378, n=791)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$7.9M$14.8M$3.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #3PM monthly #29 + pinnedHand-picked
Sides with the consensus67% (12 of 18 open)82% (23 of 28 open)61% (39 of 64 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +19 pts n=32, ROI +31%
  • NHL +4 pts n=589, ROI +3%
  • NBA +11 pts n=45, ROI +13%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134——Entertainment −21 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%56% of 731 at avg 51¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)10% (won 57% of 2593)4% (won 27% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5682)41% (won 50% of 298)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)35% (won 99% of 9181)51% (won 59% of 371)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 100% of 8519)5% (won 89% of 36)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankRN1weflyhigh
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $128K—No $1.0K—
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
KKS Lech Poznań $60K—Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $45K——
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $93K—No $27K—
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $44K—No $19K—