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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ocr7 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4536–3325, n=7861) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 57% (1101–832, n=1933) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | $84K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #772 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (14 of 22 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 63% of 1528 at avg 58¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 12% of 436) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 10% (won 38% of 157) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 15% (won 75% of 225) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 46% (won 97% of 710) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ocr7 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $34K | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $31 | No $53K | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.4K | No $2.3K | — |