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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | haveagoodday | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4520–3300, n=7820) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 35% (1604–2989, n=4593) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $7.9M | $22K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #53 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #119 | PM monthly #104 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (18 of 25 open) | 81% (25 of 31 open) | 84% (103 of 122 open) | 72% (69 of 96 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Elections −2 pts, n=690 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 55% of 3042 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 39% (won 1% of 1182) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 3% (won 42% of 106) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 6% (won 62% of 169) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 52% (won 96% of 1585) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | haveagoodday | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $56K | — | — |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $2 | — | Yes $1.0M |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | — | No $335K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.2K | Ravens $96K | — | — |
| Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $24 | No $13 |