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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | Kaczka | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4473–3351, n=7824) | 46% (560–665, n=1225) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 52% (425–397, n=822) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $11.2M | $5.6M | $13K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #997 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (7 of 13 open) | 48% (10 of 21 open) | no open consensus position | 43% (3 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 84% of 546 at avg 56¢, ROI +22% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 68% of 25) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 72% of 121) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 62% (won 88% of 340) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 11% (won 92% of 60) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | Kaczka |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $45K | No $15K | — | — |
| Bratislava 2: Martin Damm vs Tom Gentzsch opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch | Martin Damm $3.4K | — | — | Tom Gentzsch $35 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $342 | Yes $16K | — | — |