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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankjoseph00677klli27
Record (consensus markets)49% (37–38, n=75)60% (12–8, n=20)no settled market100% (2–0, n=2)
Consensus PnL-$380K$779K—-$250
Tracked asPM monthly #38PM monthly #1PM monthly #7PM monthly #103
Sides with the consensus75% (6 of 8 open)50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position86% (80 of 93 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
  • Esports +4 pts n=10, ROI +4%
  • MLB +5 pts n=10, ROI +42%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21——Elections ±0 pts, n=165
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%47% of 471 at avg 48¢, ROI +9%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)11% (won 69% of 36)8% (won 0% of 1)46% (won 3% of 219)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)35% (won 97% of 116)8% (won 0% of 1)6% (won 54% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)37% (won 99% of 124)69% (won 67% of 9)5% (won 48% of 23)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)17% (won 100% of 56)15% (won 100% of 2)43% (won 94% of 203)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankjoseph00677klli27
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $83—No $1.0K