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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | kaxel78 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4520–3295, n=7815) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 27% (396–1045, n=1441) | 50% (1105–1118, n=2223) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | $48K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #70 | PM monthly #46 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (3 of 6 open) | 64% (18 of 28 open) | 50% (13 of 26 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Elections −1 pts, n=175 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 48% of 595 at avg 48¢, ROI +14% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 47% (won 2% of 281) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 5% (won 54% of 28) | 41% (won 99% of 405) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 4% (won 54% of 24) | 49% (won 99% of 485) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 44% (won 95% of 262) | 5% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | kaxel78 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.4K | Yes $78K | — | — |