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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | mildwindow27 | Wiretransferxyz | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (37–39, n=76) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 100% (16–0, n=16) | 0% (0–1, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | -$387K | $779K | $29 | -$16K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #37 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #477 | PM monthly #214 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (10 of 12 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 92% (208 of 226 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | Elections ±0 pts, n=392 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 40% of 964 at avg 42¢, ROI +1% | 59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 57% (won 1% of 546) | 6% (won 17% of 29) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 2% (won 59% of 22) | 35% (won 46% of 171) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 4% (won 59% of 37) | 47% (won 66% of 233) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 37% (won 97% of 359) | 13% (won 89% of 62) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.