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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpgod83743894RN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (64–71, n=135)75% (744–249, n=993)94% (16–1, n=17)66% (480–245, n=725)
Consensus PnL-$420K$74K$155-$157K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #14PM monthly #188PM monthly #47 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (4 of 8 open)70% (104 of 148 open)92% (397 of 430 open)63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Economy ±0 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%89% of 168 at avg 89¢, ROI +1%100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)31% (won 9% of 66)10% (won 0% of 16)6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)27% (won 45% of 56)1% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 68% of 28)1% (won 50% of 2)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)29% (won 97% of 61)89% (won 100% of 149)51% (won 100% of 106)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpgod83743894RN1
Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston
opposite sides · consensus Hugo Gaston
—Hugo Gaston $2.3K—Matteo Martineau $483
W35 Weston, FL: Sachia Vickery vs Michaela Laki
opposite sides · consensus Sachia Vickery
—Michaela Laki $83—Sachia Vickery $786
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $36KTaylor Fritz $10K——
Sopo: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jazmin Ortenzi
same side · consensus Jazmin Ortenzi
—Jazmin Ortenzi $5.0K—Jazmin Ortenzi $265
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes
same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green
Dartmouth Big Green $1.9KDartmouth Big Green $407——
Orleans: Zsombor Piros vs Clement Tabur
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
—Zsombor Piros $530—Zsombor Piros $68
M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Andrea De Marchi vs Daniele Rapagnetta
same side · consensus Andrea De Marchi
—Andrea De Marchi $215—Andrea De Marchi $247
Monastir: Moise Kouame vs Jonas Forejtek
same side · consensus Jonas Forejtek
—Jonas Forejtek $245—Jonas Forejtek $173
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $90Vikings $6——