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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | Kaczka | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4513–3386, n=7899) | 52% (6399–5911, n=12310) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 52% (431–405, n=836) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $3.3M | $5.3M | $12K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #83 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #997 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (9 of 13 open) | 76% (140 of 184 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 84% of 559 at avg 56¢, ROI +22% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 4% (won 68% of 25) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 72% of 125) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 62% (won 88% of 347) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 11% (won 92% of 62) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | Kaczka |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $9.8K | Lakers $2.5K | — | — |
| Heat vs. Clippers same side · consensus Heat | Clippers $84K | Clippers $6.5K | — | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys same side · consensus Quentin Halys | Quentin Halys $12K | Quentin Halys $811 | — | — |
| Sharks vs. Kings same side · consensus Kings | Sharks $23 | Sharks $53 | — | — |