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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjustbusiness1RN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (64–71, n=135)75% (744–249, n=993)no settled market66% (480–245, n=725)
Consensus PnL-$420K$74K—-$157K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #14was PM monthly #760PM monthly #47 + pinned
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)70% (96 of 138 open)no open consensus position86% (6 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%—100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)31% (won 9% of 66)—6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)27% (won 45% of 56)—13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 68% of 28)—30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)29% (won 97% of 61)—51% (won 100% of 106)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjustbusiness1RN1
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
Ugo Humbert $3.4KUgo Humbert $3.0K—Ugo Humbert $2.5K
Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston
opposite sides · consensus Hugo Gaston
—Hugo Gaston $1.8K—Matteo Martineau $299
W35 Weston, FL: Sachia Vickery vs Michaela Laki
opposite sides · consensus Sachia Vickery
—Michaela Laki $74—Sachia Vickery $786
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Carole Monnet
same side · consensus Polona Hercog
—Polona Hercog $4.6K—Polona Hercog $9.5K
Lima: Santiago De La Fuente vs Max Alcala Gurri
same side · consensus Max Alcala Gurri
—Max Alcala Gurri $763—Max Alcala Gurri $7.4K
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes
same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green
Dartmouth Big Green $1.9KDartmouth Big Green $407——
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $90Vikings $6——