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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpsainttroplaystepanka1234
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)no settled market78% (57–16, n=73)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.3M—$35K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #21—PM monthly #603
Sides with the consensus68% (17 of 25 open)63% (236 of 377 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—100% of 51 at avg 78¢, ROI +20%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)—0%
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)—0%
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)—22% (won 100% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)—78% (won 100% of 40)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpsainttroplaystepanka1234
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz
Alex Molcan $26KTaylor Fritz $6.4K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata
opposite sides · consensus Rinky Hijikata
Novak Djokovic $3.3KRinky Hijikata $16K——
Charlottesville: Murphy Cassone vs Stefan Kozlov
opposite sides · consensus Stefan Kozlov
Murphy Cassone $1.3KStefan Kozlov $1.9K——
M15 Salvador: Giovanni Branchetti vs Glauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junior
opposite sides · consensus Giovanni Branchetti
—Glauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junior $53—Giovanni Branchetti $1.1K
Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $268KNo $143K——
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $265KNo $106K——
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $24KOver $20K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev $31KDaniil Medvedev $5.5K——
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11KNo $14K——
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $18KOver $4.8K——
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $155Under $10K——
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
same side · consensus Laura Samson
Laura Samson $3.0KLaura Samson $1.7K——
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1KNo $727——
M15 Pembroke: Volodymyr Gurenko vs Alexander Bernard
same side · consensus Alexander Bernard
—Alexander Bernard $44—Alexander Bernard $1.4K
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $251Under $40——