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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465KaczkaRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3351, n=7824)52% (425–397, n=822)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$13K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344was PM monthly #997PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensus73% (8 of 11 open)no open consensus position67% (115 of 172 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Esports +28 pts n=415, ROI +23%
  • NBA +29 pts n=40, ROI +25%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=83, ROI +17%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%84% of 546 at avg 56¢, ROI +22%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)5% (won 68% of 25)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)22% (won 72% of 121)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)62% (won 88% of 340)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)11% (won 92% of 60)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465KaczkaRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
same side · consensus Alexander Zverev
Alexander Zverev $21K—Alexander Zverev $13K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari
same side · consensus Maya Joint
Maya Joint $469—Maya Joint $13K
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $185—Over $82