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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | Kaczka | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4474–3357, n=7831) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 52% (428–399, n=827) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $3.3M | $15K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #16 | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (10 of 15 open) | 68% (183 of 270 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 59% (110 of 185 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 84% of 546 at avg 56¢, ROI +22% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 5% (won 68% of 25) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 22% (won 72% of 121) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 62% (won 88% of 340) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 11% (won 92% of 60) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
45 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | Kaczka | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac same side · consensus Arthur Fils | Arthur Fils $2.4K | Arthur Fils $5.6K | — | Arthur Fils $11K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $6.7K | Raptors $383 | — | Raptors $246 |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $248 | Under $40 | — | Under $371 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Will Club Guarani Asuncion win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $6.1K | — | Yes $4.8K |
| Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus CR Flamengo | — | CR Flamengo $8.8K | — | Grêmio FBPA $89 |
| Sportivo Ameliano vs. Club Guarani Asuncion: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $5.2K | — | Over $69 |
| CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.0K | — | Yes $143 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | — | Over $2.4K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $317 | — | No $2.6K |
| CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.5K | — | Under $319 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno | — | Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K | — | Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $35 |
| M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon opposite sides · consensus Mauricio Echazu | — | Maxwell McKennon $823 | — | Mauricio Echazu $1.0K |
| CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.1K | — | Over $334 |
| Spread: Pistons (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Pistons $1.2K | 76ers $46 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $486 | — | No $529 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $713 | — | Over $268 |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Wizards $220 | — | Hawks $678 |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $213 | — | No $677 |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $436 | Bucks $251 | — | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $304 | — | Thunder $273 |
| Spread: Hawks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | — | Hawks $237 | — | Wizards $98 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $215 | — | Grizzlies $118 |
| Exact Score: CA Paranaense 1 - 2 CR Vasco da Gama? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $142 | — | Yes $127 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Suns $124 | — | Trail Blazers $98 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $123 | — | Over $86 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $32 | — | Pacers $139 |
| Exact Score: CR Flamengo 3 - 0 Grêmio FBPA? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $146 | — | Yes $11 |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Lakers $27 | — | Kings $129 |
| Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3 | — | Over $149 |
| Exact Score: CA Paranaense 2 - 0 CR Vasco da Gama? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $20 | — | Yes $5 |
| Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $19K | — | No $17K |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $19K | — | No $3.6K |
| Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7K | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K |
| Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $4.1K | — | Yes $5.3K |
| Will CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $7.6K | — | No $917 |
| Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.8K | — | No $2.6K |
| Cali: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | Bianca Andreescu $1.4K | — | Bianca Andreescu $3.2K |
| Will Sportivo Ameliano win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.5K | — | No $1.9K |
| Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | No $3.0K |
| CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $2.9K | — | Over $375 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli | — | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $589 | — | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $2.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $5 | — | Over $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | No $42 | — | No $1.3K |
| M25 Harlingen, TX: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Jordan Lee same side · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek | — | Filip Jeff Planinsek $26 | — | Filip Jeff Planinsek $1.3K |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Under $75 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $101 | — | Under $1.1K |
| CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Under $42 |