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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Pan9XRN1robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)48% (61–67, n=128)74% (355–126, n=481)66% (479–242, n=721)61% (20–13, n=33)
Consensus PnL-$304K-$4.0K-$140K$307K
Tracked asPM monthly #9was PM monthly #979PM monthly #43 + pinnedPM monthly #19 + pinned
Sides with the consensus33% (3 of 9 open)52% (33 of 63 open)100% (2 of 2 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
  • NBA +24 pts n=49, ROI +23%
  • Tennis +29 pts n=10, ROI +26%
  • NBA +47 pts n=18, ROI +45%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%100% of 75 at avg 76¢, ROI +22%100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%100% of 22 at avg 54¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)1% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 12)5% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)11% (won 100% of 8)13% (won 100% of 26)36% (won 100% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)24% (won 100% of 18)30% (won 100% of 62)41% (won 100% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)64% (won 100% of 48)51% (won 100% of 105)18% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Pan9XRN1robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
same side · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $159KMOUZ $12—MOUZ $290K
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
G2 $53——MOUZ $155K
Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez
opposite sides · consensus Jurij Rodionov
Jurij Rodionov $138Pedro Martinez $19——
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Magic $33KMagic $12——
Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Sumit Nagal
same side · consensus Sumit Nagal
—Sumit Nagal $31Sumit Nagal $3.4K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $93Vikings $37——