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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3325, n=7861)no settled market45% (576–717, n=1293)
Consensus PnL$7.8M—$7.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #19—PM monthly #3
Sides with the consensus63% (15 of 24 open)no open consensus position88% (22 of 25 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)—10% (won 82% of 60)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)—35% (won 98% of 204)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)—35% (won 100% of 202)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)—20% (won 100% of 116)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4BreakTheBank
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5K—Yes $34K
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $31—No $53K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.4K—No $2.3K