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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)no settled market46% (560–666, n=1226)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)
Consensus PnL$8.9M—$11.2M$3.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344—PM monthly #2PM monthly #21
Sides with the consensus58% (11 of 19 open)no open consensus position57% (12 of 21 open)62% (221 of 358 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 40% of 243)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 62% of 255)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—19% (won 100% of 109)38% (won 94% of 561)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorp
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata
opposite sides · consensus Rinky Hijikata
Novak Djokovic $3.3K——Rinky Hijikata $16K
Charlottesville: Murphy Cassone vs Stefan Kozlov
opposite sides · consensus Stefan Kozlov
Murphy Cassone $1.3K——Stefan Kozlov $1.9K
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $655KNo $21K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev $31K——Daniil Medvedev $5.5K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11K——No $14K
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K——No $727
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $251——Under $40