← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | beachboy4 | joseph00677 | pIebe | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4542–3331, n=7873) | no settled market | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 70% (713–305, n=1018) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | — | $5.3M | $1.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #198 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (20 of 38 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 78% (128 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | — | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 71% of 944 at avg 70¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | — | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 22% (won 6% of 204) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | — | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 6% (won 47% of 55) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | — | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 6% (won 52% of 56) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | — | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 67% (won 96% of 629) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | beachboy4 | joseph00677 | pIebe |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $31 | — | — | Yes $22K |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? same side · consensus No | No $177K | — | — | No $69K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | — | — | No $199 |