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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4joseph00677quietparcel
Record (consensus markets)58% (4512–3287, n=7799)no settled market45% (10–12, n=22)44% (6378–8197, n=14575)
Consensus PnL$7.8M—$5.3M-$92K
Tracked asPM monthly #69—PM monthly #2PM monthly #260
Sides with the consensus70% (14 of 20 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position79% (249 of 316 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • MMA +2 pts n=16, ROI +2%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134——Mentions −4 pts, n=646
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%39% of 5625 at avg 41¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—12% (won 0% of 2)58% (won 1% of 3260)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—6% (won 0% of 1)2% (won 39% of 118)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—65% (won 73% of 11)4% (won 60% of 198)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—18% (won 67% of 3)36% (won 96% of 2049)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4joseph00677quietparcel
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $945——No $54
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $378
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $13K——No $72