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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465blue.birdsprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)36% (1918–3455, n=5373)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$9.7K$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #451PM monthly #52PM monthly #25 + pinned
Sides with the consensus69% (11 of 16 open)50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position67% (100 of 150 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Crypto −6 pts, n=1141——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%16% of 1141 at avg 22¢, ROI −4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)74% (won 1% of 843)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)8% (won 13% of 87)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)8% (won 53% of 93)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)10% (won 97% of 118)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465blue.birdsprimmRN1
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $357——Under $32
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev $31K——Daniil Medvedev $36K
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic $9.6K——Novak Djokovic $14K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11K——No $808
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $194——Over $81