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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | bot-rapin | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4527–3305, n=7832) | 100% (5–0, n=5) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $40K | $7.9M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #52 | PM monthly #511 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #105 |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (23 of 30 open) | 67% (14 of 21 open) | 81% (26 of 32 open) | 69% (59 of 86 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 3 at avg 100¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 0% | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 0% | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 0% | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 100% (won 100% of 3) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | bot-rapin | BreakTheBank | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | — | Yes $53K | — |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1 | Yes $1.0M |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $407K | No $335K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.2K | — | Ravens $191K | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | — | No $74K | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | No $2.4K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $2.6K | — | Ravens $287 | — |