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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | boyau | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4535–3309, n=7844) | 41% (169–244, n=413) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 50% (1105–1116, n=2221) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.0M | $802K | $3.6M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #371 | PM monthly #90 | PM monthly #48 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (17 of 26 open) | 83% (24 of 29 open) | 72% (53 of 74 open) | 50% (9 of 18 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 37% of 411 at avg 31¢, ROI +1% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 59% (won 10% of 242) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 15% (won 59% of 61) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 412) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 13% (won 74% of 54) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 50% (won 99% of 503) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 13% (won 100% of 54) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | boyau | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $69K | No $29K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $6.0K | No $42K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $15K | No $678 | — |