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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | caishenbaoyoufadacai888 | HomeRunHazard | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (62–70, n=132) | 40% (2–3, n=5) | 55% (201–167, n=368) | 66% (480–244, n=724) |
| Consensus PnL | -$493K | -$1.1K | $227K | -$148K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #510 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #45 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (4 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (53 of 74 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 3 at avg 71¢, ROI +24% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 6% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 13% (won 100% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 33% (won 100% of 1) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 30% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 67% (won 100% of 2) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 51% (won 100% of 106) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | caishenbaoyoufadacai888 | HomeRunHazard | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz | Taylor Fritz $3.7K | — | — | Cameron Norrie $1.2K |
| Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green | Dartmouth Big Green $1.9K | — | Dartmouth Big Green $304 | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $90 | — | Vikings $1.8K | — |