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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465capnjack1497keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Record (consensus markets)48% (61–67, n=128)no settled market44% (193–241, n=434)66% (479–242, n=721)
Consensus PnL-$304K—$16K-$140K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #533PM monthly #45PM monthly #43 + pinned
Sides with the consensus38% (3 of 8 open)no open consensus position50% (7 of 14 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%—100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)—5% (won 100% of 7)6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)—38% (won 100% of 51)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)—50% (won 100% of 67)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)—7% (won 100% of 9)51% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465capnjack1497keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez
same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov
Jurij Rodionov $20K—Jurij Rodionov $48KJurij Rodionov $9.0K
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $84K—G2 $15K—
W35 Heraklion: Giorgia Pedone vs Marianna Argyrokastriti
opposite sides · consensus Marianna Argyrokastriti
——Giorgia Pedone $158Marianna Argyrokastriti $1.3K
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)
same side · consensus MOUZ
G2 $53—G2 $13K—