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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | fantasy7788 | lastminwin | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (47–59, n=106) | 100% (3–0, n=3) | no settled market | 67% (429–211, n=640) |
| Consensus PnL | -$550K | $260K | $0 | -$142K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #82 | PM monthly #99 | PM monthly #43 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (10 of 12 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 50% (3 of 6 open) | 51% (32 of 63 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
|
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 73% of 15 at avg 46¢, ROI +39% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 0% | 33% (won 20% of 5) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 20% (won 100% of 3) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 20% (won 100% of 3) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 0% | 27% (won 100% of 4) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | fantasy7788 | lastminwin | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic vs. Kings opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $12K | Kings $585 | — | Magic $25K |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $117K | — | — | Magic $1.3K |